Modeling the Open Unemployment Rate in Indonesia Using Panel Data Regression Analysis
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29303/emj.v7i1.184Keywords:
Regression Analysis, Panel Data, Fixed Effect Model, Open Unemployment Rate, Within GroupAbstract
Indonesia has entered the peak of the demographic bonus which can provide positive and negative impacts for various fields. One of them is in the economic field, namely the increasing number of productive population who are unabsorbed in the world of work and is referred to as an open unemployment. This research was conducted to build a model and to analyze the Open Unemployment Rate, Economic Growth, Provincial Minimum Wage, Level of education, Population growth, Labor Force Participation Rate, Employment, Human Development Index, Poor Residents, Illiterate Population, Average Length of School, Domestic Investment, Foreign Investment, and School Participation Rate, that influence the open unemployment rate in Indonesia using panel data regression analysis with data 2015-2021 from 34 provinces. A fixed effect model with different intercept values for every participant is the best panel data regression model (Fixed Effect Model) that could be found. Based on simultaneously research, it was discovered that every component of the model significantly effect the open unemployment rate. Partially, it was discovered that the following factors significantly effect the open unemployment rate in Indonesia: Employment, Labor Force Participation Rate, Economic Growth, Population Growth, Human Development Index, Poor Population, and Average years of Schooling.References
Astuti, I.Y., Istiyani, N., & Yuliati. (2019). The Effect of Economic Growth, Inflation Rates, and Population Growth on Open Unemployment Rates in Indonesia. Journal of Accounting and Management Economics, 18(1): 52-62.
Baltagi, B. H. (2005). Econometric Analsis of Panel Data 3rd edition. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. New York.
Center for Social Welfare Research and Development Agency for Education, Research and Social Counseling Ministry of Social RI. (2018). Children of Female Migrant Workers and Demographic Bonus Challenges. Center for Research and Development of Social Welfare Ministry of Social RI, Jakarta.
Directorate of Statistical Dissemination. (2022). Statistics Indonesia 2022. Central Bureau of Statistics, Jakarta.
Directorate of Population and Employment Statistics. (2021). State of the Labor Force in Indonesia August 2021. Central Bureau of Statistics, Jakarta.
Draper, N. R., & Smith, H. (1998). Applied Regression Analysis 3rd edition. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Canada.
Gujarati, D. N., & Dawn C., Porter. (2009). Basic Econometrics 5th edition. Douglas Reiner, New York.
Khayati, N., & Setyowati, E. (2024). Open Unemploytment Rate in West Java in 2018 to 2021. Proceedings of the International Conference on Economics and Business Studies (ICOEBS-22-2).
Mahendra, K.Y., Susilawati, M., and Suciptawati, N. L. P. (2021). Modeling Open Unemployment Rate in Indonesia, Journal of Mathematics 10(1): pp. 20-25.
Salsabila, R., & Oktora, S. I. (2022). The Impact of Broadband Access on Unemployment Rate in Indonesia 2016-2019. Asian Journal of Business Environment 12(3), 23-30.
Suparman & Muzakir. (2023). Regional Inequality, Human Capital, Unemployment, and Economic Growth in Indonesia: Panel Regression Approach. Cogent Economics & finance 11:2251803.
Yulistiani, R., Putra, N. C., Said, Q., & Ernawati, I. (2020). Classification and Prediction of Open Unemployment Rates in Indonesia Using the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) Method. National Seminar for Computer Science Students and Their Applications (SENAMIKA) 123-130.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
All articles published in the Eigen Mathematics Journal will be available for free reading and downloading. The license applied to this journal is Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial-Share Alike (CC BY-NC-SA).